The Run In

Anything and everything related to Barnet FC
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Berlinbee
Posts: 338
Joined: 16 Apr 2017, 09:12

The Run In

Post: # 239487Post Berlinbee »

So as stated in a previous post, I've had a look at how many points relegated teams in recent seasons have gone down with.


2014/15
Cheltenham pts 41
Tranmere pts 39
2015/16
Daggers . 34
York City . 34
2016/17
Hartlepool . 46
Orient . 36

It's clear that this season's points total is going to be more than the 2015/16 season. In 2012/13, we were relegated with a whopping 51 points! A freak of a season, that tally would normally have teams finishing between 16th and 19th place based on recent seasons.
To match that, we'd have to win 8 and draw one of our remaining 12 fixtures. I reckon this season, we'd need 43 to be safe. 17 more points. We need to win 5 and draw two or we need to win 6 of our remaining fixtures.

Colchester . D
Port Vale W
Coventry . L
Wycombe . L
Luton . L
Crewe . W
Stevenage . D
Forest Green W
Grimsby . L
Newport . W
Morecombe . D
Chesterfield . W

Well that's my prediction of where we can pick up points. A very winnable 18 points there. Time for the lads to step up.

What do others think?
ETBee
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Joined: 16 Mar 2013, 10:16

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239489Post ETBee »

Clutching at straws.
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Berlinbee
Posts: 338
Joined: 16 Apr 2017, 09:12

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239491Post Berlinbee »

ETBee wrote:Clutching at straws.
Yep, all 18 of them.
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BeesKnees
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Joined: 17 Apr 2012, 16:49

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239506Post BeesKnees »

On what basis do you make 43 points enough?
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northantsbee
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Joined: 01 Apr 2011, 11:24

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239507Post northantsbee »

The problem this season is our inability to hang on to a lead. So far this season we have dropped 19 points from games where we have taken the lead

Carlisle - 5
Accrington - 2
Cheltenham - 2
Lincoln - 2
Chesterfield - 3
Yeovil - 2
Exeter - 3

If we could have seen these games out we would be comfortably mid table, and unless we can sort that out we're doomed.
Going Indieground 7pm Tuesday, https://www.madwaspradio.com/
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Berlinbee
Posts: 338
Joined: 16 Apr 2017, 09:12

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239514Post Berlinbee »

BeesKnees wrote:On what basis do you make 43 points enough?
I looked at the remaining fixtures and form of the other teams around us and did a similar likely prediction of the remaining 12 games. Of course I could wrong, but I reckon w'll need 43 points
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BeesKnees
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Joined: 17 Apr 2012, 16:49

Re: The Run In

Post: # 239518Post BeesKnees »

Ok, my prediction

Colchester . D
Port Vale W
Coventry . L
Wycombe . D
Luton . L
Crewe . D
Stevenage . L
Forest Green D
Grimsby . D
Newport . D
Morecombe . W
Chesterfield . W
finish on 40 points ruing the draws and 5 points below safety .
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